Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -475 UAPB +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -10.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -8.1 (+2.9) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -8.4 (+2.6) | 140.9 (+0.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -7.6 (+3.4) | 142.6 (-1.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -8.5 (+2.5) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UAPB 67 – 64 GRAM |
| Jan 28, 2025 | GRAM 81 – 77 UAPB |
| Jan 30, 2024 | UAPB 86 – 70 GRAM |
| Jan 24, 2023 | GRAM 77 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 30, 2021 | GRAM 74 – 71 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-14 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#325) | -16.9 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#305) | -2.94 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#309) | -3.94 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#294) | 0.390 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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