Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -278 UAPB +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAPB +16 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -7.8 (-23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -5.7 (-21.7) | 143.2 (+12.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -5.9 (-21.9) | 145.8 (+10.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -5.4 (-21.4) | 145.6 (+10.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -6.4 (-22.4) | 144.9 (+11.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UAPB 67 – 64 GRAM |
| Jan 28, 2025 | GRAM 81 – 77 UAPB |
| Jan 24, 2023 | GRAM 77 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 25, 2022 | GRAM 76 – 65 UAPB |
| Jan 30, 2021 | GRAM 74 – 71 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#319) | -13.6 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#284) | -1.74 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#261) | -2.67 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#258) | 0.422 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 31.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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