Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UAPB +140 GRAM -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -2.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -1.5 (-5.5) | 132.6 (+14.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -2.2 (-4.8) | 132.9 (+14.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -3.6 (-3.4) | 134.5 (+12.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -2.0 (-5.0) | 132.8 (+14.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UAPB 67 – 64 GRAM |
| Jan 28, 2025 | GRAM 81 – 77 UAPB |
| Jan 30, 2024 | UAPB 86 – 70 GRAM |
| Jan 25, 2022 | GRAM 76 – 65 UAPB |
| Jan 30, 2021 | GRAM 74 – 71 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-16 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#314) | -2.3 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#286) | -0.07 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#293) | 0.12 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#275) | 0.484 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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