Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UAPB +180 GRAM -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -9.4 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -7.0 (+3.0) | 144.0 (+14.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -7.8 (+3.8) | 142.0 (+16.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -7.2 (+3.2) | 142.8 (+15.2) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -7.5 (+3.5) | 141.9 (+16.1) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UAPB 67 – 64 GRAM |
| Jan 30, 2024 | UAPB 86 – 70 GRAM |
| Jan 24, 2023 | GRAM 77 – 70 UAPB |
| Jan 25, 2022 | GRAM 76 – 65 UAPB |
| Jan 30, 2021 | GRAM 74 – 71 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 4-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-17 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.7 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -22.4 (#363) | -9.6 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.24 (#363) | -3.05 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.31 (#362) | -4.03 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#364) | 0.381 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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