Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB -450 CSUF +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +6 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -10.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+47.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -9.4 (-15.4) | 132.8 (+41.2) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -10.0 (-16.0) | 130.7 (+43.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -10.5 (-16.5) | 135.7 (+38.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -9.9 (-15.9) | 133.3 (+40.7) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | CSUF 88 – 80 CSUB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CSUF 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSUB 91 – 54 CSUF |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CSUB 71 – 68 CSUF |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CSUB 73 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 6-10 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-7 |
| Home | 9-2 | 5-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#131) | -6.1 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#119) | -1.11 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#108) | -1.12 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#99) | 0.384 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.