Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Big South Conference · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · January 30, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -7.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money CAM -333 / CHSO +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +1 117 Won
Massey CAM -11.9 (-10.9) — —
Massey Totals — 137.0 (-20.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAM -11.6 (-10.6) 138.2 (-21.2) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -8.5 (-7.5) 136.5 (-19.5) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -10.6 (-9.6) 137.3 (-20.3) 87% ✓
Baseline ML CAM -10.5 (-9.5) 138.3 (-21.3) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 16, 2023 CAM 67 – 51 CHSO
Jan 21, 2023 CAM 78 – 76 CHSO
Jan 13, 2022 CAM 67 – 52 CHSO
Jan 30, 2021 CAM 75 – 67 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM CHSO
Overall 17-10 3-18
Conference 11-6 2-15
Home 9-3 1-9
Away 6-7 2-8
Neutral 1-0 0-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 68.4 64.0
Avg Pts Against 67.9 74.5
Massey -5.3 (#251) -14.6 (#336)
Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#280) -4.46 (#346)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.85 (#280) -5.97 (#344)
RPI 0.444 (#258) 0.373 (#330)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM CHSO
FG% 49.3% 39.3%
3PT% 35.3% 31.5%
REB / G 25.7 35.1
OREB / G 4.3 9.7
AST / TO 0.98 0.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.6% 46.0%
TOV% 19.7% 24.8%
ORB% 14.6% 26.4%
FT Rate 23.3% 20.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 22.7% 18.1%
DRB% 65.9% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 20.0%

Game Analysis

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