Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Big South Conference · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · February 16, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -7.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money CAM -300 / CHSO +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +16 118 Won
Massey CAM -5.9 (+10.1) — —
Massey Totals — 144.8 (-26.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAM -4.1 (+11.9) 144.9 (-26.9) 69% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -5.8 (+10.2) 140.2 (-22.2) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -4.9 (+11.1) 144.7 (-26.7) 69% ✓
Baseline ML CAM -4.6 (+11.4) 145.2 (-27.2) 68% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2023 CAM 78 – 76 CHSO
Jan 13, 2022 CAM 67 – 52 CHSO
Jan 30, 2021 CAM 75 – 67 CHSO
Jan 30, 2021 CAM 59 – 58 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM CHSO
Overall 16-18 10-21
Conference 8-10 5-13
Home 8-6 6-8
Away 4-10 3-12
Neutral 4-2 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.7 70.4
Avg Pts Against 69.0 75.4
Massey -4.4 (#246) -6.7 (#289)
Bradley-Terry -0.95 (#265) -1.70 (#321)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.10 (#258) -1.85 (#312)
RPI 0.454 (#272) 0.416 (#324)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM CHSO
FG% 44.8% 44.1%
3PT% 31.8% 35.3%
REB / G 30.8 33.4
OREB / G 7.4 11.3
AST / TO 0.99 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 51.2%
TOV% 18.6% 18.6%
ORB% 23.3% 32.7%
FT Rate 25.6% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 16.6%
DRB% 73.9% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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