Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DAY -120 URI +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | URI -1.4 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -1.3 (+9.7) | 135.9 (-12.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -0.4 (+10.6) | 135.9 (-12.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -1.4 (+9.6) | 134.4 (-11.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -1.4 (+9.6) | 137.3 (-14.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 DAY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DAY 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DAY 96 – 62 URI |
| Jan 26, 2023 | URI 75 – 70 DAY |
| Feb 15, 2022 | DAY 63 – 57 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-10 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-10 |
| Home | 8-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#107) | 8.0 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#83) | 1.04 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#62) | 1.88 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#86) | 0.539 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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