Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LEH +100 BUCK +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +14 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -1.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -2.3 (-16.3) | 142.6 (+11.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -1.0 (-15.0) | 143.2 (+10.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.8 (-15.8) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -2.3 (-16.3) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
Game Analysis
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