Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MSST -600 ISU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +39 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -10.2 (+28.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -9.6 (+29.4) | 137.0 (+14.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -10.3 (+28.7) | 137.5 (+13.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -10.9 (+28.1) | 136.3 (+14.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -11.2 (+27.8) | 137.0 (+14.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2025 | ISU 96 – 80 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 0-18 |
| Home | 9-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 5-4 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#92) | -1.6 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#110) | -1.12 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#87) | -1.54 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#139) | 0.473 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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