Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -213 MCN +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +8 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -5.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-31.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.7 (+2.3) | 148.1 (-28.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -4.4 (+3.6) | 145.5 (-25.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -5.6 (+2.4) | 148.9 (-28.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -5.0 (+3.0) | 149.9 (-29.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 10-14 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 4-10 |
| Home | 5-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#332) | -16.8 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#315) | -4.06 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#313) | -5.90 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#289) | 0.307 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 24.4% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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