Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -333 OMA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +32 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -13.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -11.6 (+20.4) | 142.3 (+7.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -10.0 (+22.0) | 142.1 (+7.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -12.0 (+20.0) | 145.2 (+4.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -12.1 (+19.9) | 141.2 (+8.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 3-11 |
| Home | 7-2 | 1-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#146) | -9.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#212) | -2.08 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#206) | -3.13 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#202) | 0.447 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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