We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Mid-American Conference · Millett Hall · January 30, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -9.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money M-OH -500 / WMU +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total M-OH win
Actual M-OH +9 121 Won
Massey M-OH -10.5 (-1.5) — —
Massey Totals — 133.8 (-12.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -10.3 (-1.3) 140.6 (-19.6) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ M-OH -7.9 (+1.1) 137.5 (-16.5) 81% ✓
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -10.5 (-1.5) 138.8 (-17.8) 84% ✓
Baseline ML M-OH -10.0 (-1.0) 140.4 (-19.4) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 M-OH 69 – 67 WMU
Jan 7, 2026 M-OH 87 – 76 WMU
Feb 15, 2025 WMU 78 – 70 M-OH
Jan 11, 2025 M-OH 91 – 71 WMU
Feb 21, 2024 WMU 77 – 58 M-OH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings M-OH WMU
Overall 12-11 5-16
Conference 9-8 4-12
Home 7-4 2-9
Away 5-6 3-7
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.0 63.1
Avg Pts Against 72.0 73.5
Massey -0.6 (#174) -8.6 (#293)
Bradley-Terry -0.39 (#196) -2.59 (#327)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.34 (#187) -2.81 (#312)
RPI 0.462 (#227) 0.380 (#327)
Shooting & Four Factors M-OH WMU
FG% 44.8% 43.0%
3PT% 38.1% 32.3%
REB / G 33.0 33.1
OREB / G 9.0 8.0
AST / TO 1.13 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 48.9%
TOV% 16.1% 21.3%
ORB% 26.5% 24.0%
FT Rate 21.5% 17.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 14.2%
DRB% 69.7% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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