Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WCU +400 FUR -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -10.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -7.3 (+1.3) | 156.3 (-12.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -7.7 (+1.7) | 153.5 (-9.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -7.9 (+1.9) | 155.5 (-11.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -7.6 (+1.6) | 156.6 (-12.6) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 4-13 | 10-5 |
| Home | 6-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#228) | 9.1 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#209) | 0.83 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#208) | 1.34 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#224) | 0.555 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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