Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -400 UTAH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -12.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -12.2 (-15.2) | 140.1 (+10.9) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -10.1 (-13.1) | 136.3 (+14.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -12.3 (-15.3) | 139.4 (+11.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -11.7 (-14.7) | 140.1 (+10.9) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 12-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 16.0 (#10) | 5.9 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#38) | 0.24 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#38) | 0.79 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#14) | 0.503 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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