The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–19 on winners spread MAE 8.9 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oregon State @ UCLA +10.9 139.4 84% 52–57 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly -2.3 137.5 38% 64–51 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State +5.9 127.0 74% 55–65 ✓
Bryant @ Fairleigh Dickinson -6.1 159.9 38% 79–81 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Duquesne +8.3 147.2 83% 50–67 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne +0.7 155.8 38% 82–75 ✗
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +6.1 137.3 73% 65–73 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.0 132.7 50% 77–66 ✗
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +5.7 145.7 75% 59–76 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -11.0 137.5 16% 89–86 ✓
Minnesota @ Purdue +2.4 140.0 66% 62–81 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis +5.6 148.0 73% 59–62 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -15.7 167.8 15% 97–75 ✓
Creighton @ DePaul -6.3 146.9 28% 69–62 ✓
Stanford @ Arizona State -2.0 146.4 42% 75–79 ✗
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +7.8 125.0 78% 54–68 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas City -0.8 120.0 49% 47–49 ✗
Omaha @ South Dakota +12.0 144.6 86% 93–97 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +6.6 137.4 73% 70–62 ✗
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +2.9 146.4 58% 99–87 ✗
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt -1.4 147.3 45% 81–93 ✗
Belmont @ Murray State -3.7 145.7 32% 72–71 ✓
Alabama State @ Texas Southern +12.0 130.6 86% 73–80 ✓
UTSA @ UTEP +4.2 146.9 65% 51–69 ✓
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon +9.0 127.7 84% 53–65 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +10.6 151.4 83% 79–75 ✗
Wyoming @ San Diego State +15.5 144.6 89% 71–98 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield +8.0 135.8 74% 73–83 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i -1.0 129.5 41% 61–62 ✗
Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh +4.8 142.6 70% 84–58 ✗
Tulane @ Temple +6.2 132.7 72% 81–64 ✗
SMU @ Houston +10.0 135.0 82% 48–70 ✓
Michigan State @ Ohio State +9.9 143.0 85% 62–79 ✓
William & Mary @ Towson +1.2 139.1 50% 75–74 ✗
Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington +0.5 142.9 47% 89–83 ✗
Drexel @ James Madison +0.9 136.5 57% 64–73 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -2.3 131.5 35% 71–65 ✓
UMBC @ NJIT -2.0 135.1 50% 65–69 ✗
Hartford @ Stony Brook +0.3 131.0 50% 49–63 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's +3.9 128.3 64% 64–76 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +4.7 147.7 67% 68–92 ✓
Elon @ Delaware +5.3 126.5 69% 70–75 ✓
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +4.6 144.8 67% 60–68 ✓
Siena @ Marist -2.8 127.5 39% 63–50 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State -2.5 135.2 35% 72–46 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake +18.6 142.2 90% 76–78 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UAB +16.9 131.9 90% 52–63 ✓
St. John's @ Marquette +3.0 148.9 57% 75–73 ✗
Florida A&M @ North Carolina A&T +0.7 140.9 55% 65–67 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +7.9 135.8 80% 53–79 ✓
Valparaiso @ Evansville +0.2 131.7 52% 52–70 ✓
Bradley @ Indiana State +1.6 130.5 68% 57–60 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis +5.4 147.2 70% 85–77 ✗
Bryant @ Fairleigh Dickinson -6.1 159.4 32% 84–95 ✗
Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin +3.4 148.0 70% 68–78 ✓
Colgate @ Holy Cross -11.6 154.3 16% 78–60 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois -0.5 135.9 46% 68–71 ✗
NC State @ Syracuse +5.0 150.2 73% 73–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.