Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -850 RICE +590 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +26 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -10.1 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -11.1 (+14.9) | 136.1 (-4.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -7.9 (+18.1) | 135.8 (-3.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -11.5 (+14.5) | 136.8 (-4.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -11.9 (+14.1) | 137.0 (-5.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
Game Analysis
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