Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | DEP +500 CREI -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +7 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -10.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -8.4 (+1.4) | 146.3 (-15.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -6.3 (-0.7) | 146.9 (-15.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -9.0 (+2.0) | 147.5 (-16.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -8.4 (+1.4) | 146.3 (-15.3) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-14 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 2-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#148) | 14.7 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#189) | 2.41 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#165) | 3.31 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#290) | 0.571 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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