Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -150 STET +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +11 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -1.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.0 (-12.0) | 133.7 (+9.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -1.0 (-12.0) | 132.7 (+10.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -0.3 (-11.3) | 133.0 (+10.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -0.5 (-11.5) | 133.5 (+9.5) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | STET 78 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FGCU 78 – 76 STET |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 80 STET |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 56 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-8 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#287) | -5.9 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#203) | -0.79 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#232) | -0.75 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#268) | 0.455 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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