Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -250 ELON +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -8.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -6.2 (-1.2) | 128.2 (+16.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -5.3 (-0.3) | 126.5 (+18.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -6.8 (-1.8) | 127.7 (+17.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -6.6 (-1.6) | 128.3 (+16.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2025 | DEL 79 – 77 ELON |
| Feb 16, 2024 | ELON 73 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DEL 70 – 54 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DEL 57 – 52 ELON |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DEL 71 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-8 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 5-4 | 4-7 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-2 |
| Away | 1-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#205) | -8.3 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#229) | -1.08 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#225) | -1.72 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#257) | 0.432 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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