In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Mountain West Conference · Viejas Arena · January 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SDSU -18.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money SDSU -2000 / WYO +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDSU win
Actual SDSU +27 169 Won
Massey SDSU -19.5 (+7.5) — —
Massey Totals — 148.0 (+21.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SDSU -15.6 (+11.4) 146.6 (+22.4) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SDSU -15.5 (+11.5) 144.6 (+24.4) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SDSU -16.9 (+10.1) 145.0 (+24.0) 89% ✓
Baseline ML SDSU -17.1 (+9.9) 146.4 (+22.6) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 SDSU 72 – 63 WYO
Jan 15, 2026 SDSU 74 – 57 WYO
Mar 2, 2025 SDSU 72 – 69 WYO
Feb 2, 2025 SDSU 63 – 61 WYO
Jan 24, 2024 SDSU 81 – 65 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDSU WYO
Overall 23-5 14-11
Conference 14-3 7-9
Home 13-2 7-5
Away 6-2 4-5
Neutral 4-1 3-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.3 76.6
Avg Pts Against 61.9 75.5
Massey 13.3 (#25) -3.6 (#221)
Bradley-Terry 2.04 (#42) 0.47 (#139)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.58 (#48) 0.48 (#141)
RPI 0.625 (#12) 0.464 (#223)
Shooting & Four Factors SDSU WYO
FG% 45.4% 44.6%
3PT% 39.3% 35.9%
REB / G 35.1 33.9
OREB / G 10.1 8.4
AST / TO 1.16 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 53.2%
TOV% 19.1% 15.4%
ORB% 30.2% 23.4%
FT Rate 21.8% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 23.6% 17.8%
DRB% 75.7% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 24.0%

Game Analysis

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