Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Big West Conference · Mott Athletics Center · January 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CSUN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money CP +170 / CSUN -163
Model Predictions
Spread Total CP win
Actual CSUN +13 115 Lost
Massey CSUN -2.2 (-10.8) — —
Massey Totals — 145.2 (-30.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 41% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CSUN -0.8 (-12.2) 143.3 (-28.3) 45% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CSUN -2.3 (-10.7) 137.5 (-22.5) 38% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CSUN -2.0 (-11.0) 142.8 (-27.8) 39% ✓
Baseline ML CSUN -0.9 (-12.1) 143.2 (-28.2) 45% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 CSUN 97 – 96 CP
Jan 9, 2026 CSUN 95 – 90 CP
Feb 16, 2025 CSUN 89 – 85 CP
Dec 8, 2024 CSUN 102 – 91 CP
Feb 9, 2024 CSUN 78 – 65 CP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CP CSUN
Overall 4-20 9-13
Conference 1-15 5-9
Home 3-8 4-7
Away 0-11 4-4
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 59.8 70.9
Avg Pts Against 71.9 77.6
Massey -14.4 (#336) -9.5 (#302)
Bradley-Terry -1.70 (#298) -0.84 (#238)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.29 (#300) -1.39 (#253)
RPI 0.371 (#331) 0.399 (#314)
Shooting & Four Factors CP CSUN
FG% 36.8% 41.6%
3PT% 28.9% 32.1%
REB / G 32.4 31.8
OREB / G 8.2 8.4
AST / TO 0.73 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.1% 47.8%
TOV% 20.3% 17.2%
ORB% 22.2% 22.5%
FT Rate 21.5% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 55.7%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.5%
DRB% 69.1% 73.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 30.2%

Game Analysis

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