Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -1600 MTSU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +11 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -21.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -18.7 (-7.7) | 132.1 (-17.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -16.9 (-5.9) | 131.9 (-16.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -21.2 (-10.2) | 133.5 (-18.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -19.8 (-8.8) | 131.5 (-16.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2025 | MTSU 76 – 61 UAB |
| Dec 1, 2024 | MTSU 76 – 69 UAB |
| Nov 22, 2023 | UAB 58 – 57 MTSU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UAB 92 – 69 MTSU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | MTSU 74 – 73 UAB |
Game Analysis
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