Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -340 MTSU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -1.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -1.9 (-8.9) | 156.2 (-11.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -2.9 (-9.9) | 154.5 (-9.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -1.9 (-8.9) | 154.9 (-9.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -2.0 (-9.0) | 155.3 (-10.3) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2025 | MTSU 76 – 61 UAB |
| Nov 22, 2023 | UAB 58 – 57 MTSU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UAB 92 – 69 MTSU |
| Jan 17, 2023 | MTSU 74 – 73 UAB |
| Mar 11, 2022 | UAB 102 – 98 MTSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#222) | 0.6 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#297) | 0.93 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#267) | 1.22 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#298) | 0.553 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.