Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | MRST +275 SIE -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +13 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -3.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -2.6 (-10.4) | 127.6 (-14.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -2.8 (-10.2) | 127.5 (-14.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -2.4 (-10.6) | 128.6 (-15.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -2.1 (-10.9) | 128.2 (-15.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-9 | 12-5 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#254) | 1.1 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#191) | 0.84 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#223) | 1.05 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#160) | 0.566 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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