Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 119.5 Over |
| Money | SPU -250 MAN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -11.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -8.7 (+5.3) | 125.0 (-3.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -7.8 (+6.2) | 125.0 (-3.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -8.6 (+5.4) | 127.7 (-5.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -8.6 (+5.4) | 124.7 (-2.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SPU 75 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SPU 80 – 75 MAN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MAN 84 – 83 SPU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | MAN 70 – 67 SPU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SPU 89 – 57 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 7-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#159) | -8.3 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#120) | -1.08 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#129) | -1.79 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#74) | 0.415 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.