Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -250 NCSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -6.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -6.5 (-3.5) | 149.6 (-0.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -5.0 (-2.0) | 150.2 (-1.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -6.5 (-3.5) | 152.0 (-3.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -6.3 (-3.3) | 150.8 (-1.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NCSU 88 – 68 SYR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SYR 74 – 60 NCSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NCSU 83 – 65 SYR |
| Feb 21, 2024 | SYR 87 – 83 NCSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SYR 77 – 65 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 9-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#43) | 7.4 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#70) | 0.81 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#67) | 1.12 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#70) | 0.504 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.