Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | NCSU -333 SYR +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +4 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | NCSU -5.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -5.4 (-9.4) | 150.8 (+19.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -5.5 (-9.5) | 147.8 (+22.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -5.8 (-9.8) | 149.0 (+21.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -5.2 (-9.2) | 151.0 (+19.0) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NCSU 88 – 68 SYR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SYR 74 – 60 NCSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NCSU 83 – 65 SYR |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SYR 77 – 65 NCSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | SYR 75 – 72 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 10-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#77) | 5.8 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#63) | 1.67 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#72) | 2.02 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#109) | 0.586 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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