Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -115 NCSU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -2.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -2.0 (+10.0) | 146.1 (-4.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -1.4 (+10.6) | 146.5 (-4.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -2.7 (+9.3) | 144.4 (-2.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -2.9 (+9.1) | 143.2 (-1.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NCSU 88 – 68 SYR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SYR 74 – 60 NCSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NCSU 83 – 65 SYR |
| Feb 21, 2024 | SYR 87 – 83 NCSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | SYR 75 – 72 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 26-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 10-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#90) | 7.4 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#44) | 1.63 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#53) | 2.01 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#16) | 0.542 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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