Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -125 NCSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -2.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -1.7 (+4.7) | 148.2 (-1.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -1.0 (+4.0) | 146.8 (+0.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -2.1 (+5.1) | 147.8 (-0.8) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -1.8 (+4.8) | 148.5 (-1.5) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NCSU 88 – 68 SYR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SYR 74 – 60 NCSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NCSU 83 – 65 SYR |
| Feb 21, 2024 | SYR 87 – 83 NCSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SYR 77 – 65 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#94) | 11.1 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#102) | 2.41 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#89) | 2.73 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#126) | 0.591 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.