Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -110 NCSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -0.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -1.6 (+12.4) | 147.8 (-13.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -2.3 (+11.7) | 147.7 (-13.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -1.8 (+12.2) | 147.9 (-13.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.3 (+12.7) | 148.5 (-14.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NCSU 88 – 68 SYR |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NCSU 83 – 65 SYR |
| Feb 21, 2024 | SYR 87 – 83 NCSU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SYR 77 – 65 NCSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | SYR 75 – 72 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#127) | 4.4 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#153) | 0.16 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#138) | 0.51 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#176) | 0.474 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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