Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -250 MSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -12.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -11.1 (+5.9) | 145.3 (-4.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -9.9 (+7.1) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -11.7 (+5.3) | 143.7 (-2.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -10.8 (+6.2) | 143.9 (-2.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MSU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSU 69 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | OSU 60 – 57 MSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | OSU 68 – 58 MSU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MSU 84 – 78 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#13) | 5.3 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#12) | 1.51 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.46 (#8) | 2.56 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#15) | 0.507 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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