Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -150 GB +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -7.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -5.5 (+2.5) | 137.2 (+0.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -6.1 (+1.9) | 137.3 (+0.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -5.3 (+2.7) | 140.4 (-2.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -5.4 (+2.6) | 137.9 (+0.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLE 89 – 82 GB |
| Jan 16, 2026 | GB 88 – 73 CLE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLE 81 – 66 GB |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CLE 83 – 61 GB |
| Feb 29, 2024 | GB 69 – 61 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 8-17 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#201) | -6.6 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#119) | -1.46 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#134) | -1.55 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#43) | 0.441 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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