Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -600 OMA +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +4 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -15.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+46.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -12.6 (-8.6) | 144.5 (+45.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -12.0 (-8.0) | 144.6 (+45.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -13.8 (-9.8) | 147.3 (+42.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -13.2 (-9.2) | 145.7 (+44.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 3-11 |
| Home | 7-2 | 1-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#128) | -10.7 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#210) | -2.19 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#204) | -3.32 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#219) | 0.444 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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