In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
UCLA Bruins
57 – 52
FINAL Conference
Oregon State Beavers
Pac-12 Conference · Pauley Pavilion · January 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -11.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money UCLA -700 / ORST +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +5 109 Won
Massey UCLA -13.9 (-8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 142.5 (-33.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -12.4 (-7.4) 143.9 (-34.9) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UCLA -10.9 (-5.9) 139.4 (-30.4) 84% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -12.6 (-7.6) 142.4 (-33.4) 86% ✓
Baseline ML UCLA -12.4 (-7.4) 143.9 (-34.9) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2024 UCLA 67 – 57 ORST
Feb 2, 2024 UCLA 71 – 63 ORST
Dec 29, 2023 UCLA 69 – 62 ORST
Feb 10, 2023 UCLA 62 – 47 ORST
Feb 26, 2022 UCLA 94 – 55 ORST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA ORST
Overall 22-10 20-13
Conference 13-6 10-10
Home 11-1 10-6
Away 5-6 4-6
Neutral 6-3 6-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.4 69.1
Avg Pts Against 68.4 68.4
Massey 11.7 (#40) 0.5 (#152)
Bradley-Terry 2.43 (#30) 0.54 (#135)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.16 (#33) 1.03 (#114)
RPI 0.611 (#25) 0.501 (#169)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA ORST
FG% 46.2% 40.2%
3PT% 38.4% 34.3%
REB / G 37.4 35.1
OREB / G 11.3 11.1
AST / TO 1.29 1.37
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 46.5%
TOV% 16.8% 16.2%
ORB% 33.6% 30.1%
FT Rate 26.7% 28.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.5% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 17.5%
DRB% 75.7% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 26.1%

Game Analysis

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