Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -320 TAR +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -7.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -7.7 (-15.7) | 145.2 (-13.2) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -6.6 (-14.6) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.2 (-15.2) | 145.5 (-13.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -7.2 (-15.2) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVU 79 – 72 TAR |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UVU 83 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UVU 91 – 85 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UVU 71 – 66 TAR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UVU 81 – 56 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 10-10 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 5-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#198) | -6.7 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#234) | -3.37 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#236) | -4.29 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#214) | 0.375 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 26.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 17.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 39.1% |
Game Analysis
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