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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–0 on winners
spread MAE 10.7
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+12.7 | 134.5 | 86% | 59–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.9 | 139.6 | 44% | 64–56 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.2 | 139.5 | 45% | 77–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.3 | 139.2 | 67% | 60–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.4 | 157.9 | 71% | 75–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.8 | 135.4 | 61% | 58–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.7 | 143.1 | 71% | 79–94 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.7 | 138.1 | 36% | 74–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.0 | 129.3 | 68% | 55–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.