Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -275 CIT +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -3.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 181.6 (-30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -3.2 (-2.2) | 160.2 (-9.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -2.4 (-1.4) | 157.9 (-6.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -3.1 (-2.1) | 159.9 (-8.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -2.4 (-1.4) | 157.8 (-6.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 4-13 | 5-11 |
| Home | 6-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 82.3 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#214) | -4.1 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#217) | -0.06 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#212) | -0.18 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#226) | 0.496 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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