Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -110 WSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +15 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -0.6 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -0.2 (-15.2) | 140.9 (-1.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -1.2 (-13.8) | 139.5 (-0.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -0.1 (-15.1) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -0.4 (-15.4) | 141.1 (-2.1) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | WASH 81 – 69 WSU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | WASH 89 – 73 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WASH 74 – 68 WSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WSU 90 – 87 WASH |
| Mar 3, 2023 | WSU 93 – 84 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-12 |
| Home | 4-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#186) | 1.9 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#229) | 0.56 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#219) | 0.80 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#213) | 0.504 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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