Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -400 SAC +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +15 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -8.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -6.5 (+8.5) | 143.8 (+29.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -5.7 (+9.3) | 143.1 (+29.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -5.9 (+9.1) | 144.2 (+28.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.5 (+8.5) | 144.6 (+28.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | EWU 102 – 94 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | EWU 75 – 67 SAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EWU 83 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | EWU 65 – 54 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 74 – 69 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 8-12 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 5-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#135) | -3.5 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#215) | -1.44 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#207) | -1.82 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#112) | 0.424 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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