And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Big Ten Conference · Welsh-Ryan Arena · February 1, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -3.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money NU +150 / RUTG -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total NU win
Actual RUTG +8 120 Lost
Massey RUTG -1.5 (-6.5) — —
Massey Totals — 141.0 (-21.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 42% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NU -0.6 (-8.6) 139.6 (-19.6) 50% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -0.9 (-7.1) 139.6 (-19.6) 44% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -0.2 (-7.8) 143.4 (-23.4) 41% ✓
Baseline ML RUTG -1.0 (-7.0) 138.1 (-18.1) 45% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 RUTG 77 – 75 NU
Jan 30, 2025 RUTG 79 – 72 NU
Feb 15, 2024 RUTG 63 – 60 NU
Mar 6, 2023 NU 65 – 53 RUTG
Jan 12, 2023 RUTG 65 – 62 NU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NU RUTG
Overall 9-15 16-12
Conference 6-13 10-10
Home 7-6 10-4
Away 2-8 4-6
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.0 69.2
Avg Pts Against 71.0 67.6
Massey 8.0 (#71) 12.2 (#37)
Bradley-Terry 1.31 (#78) 2.22 (#35)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.41 (#58) 3.28 (#28)
RPI 0.503 (#167) 0.584 (#45)
Shooting & Four Factors NU RUTG
FG% 45.1% 46.0%
3PT% 36.4% 34.8%
REB / G 32.6 36.8
OREB / G 6.4 10.9
AST / TO 1.59 1.41
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 51.4%
TOV% 14.6% 15.3%
ORB% 18.9% 29.4%
FT Rate 21.8% 16.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.2% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 19.1%
DRB% 74.0% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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