Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -225 LEH +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +24 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -6.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -5.9 (+18.1) | 145.6 (+14.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -4.7 (+19.3) | 147.7 (+12.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -5.8 (+18.2) | 149.0 (+11.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -6.3 (+17.7) | 146.8 (+13.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
Game Analysis
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