This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · January 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money CBU -450 / UTU +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual UTU +4 154 Lost
Massey CBU -14.1 (-18.1) — —
Massey Totals — 156.9 (-2.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -11.2 (-15.2) 151.2 (+2.8) 87% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -10.6 (-14.6) 151.4 (+2.6) 83% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CBU -11.3 (-15.3) 152.8 (+1.2) 83% ✗
Baseline ML CBU -10.0 (-14.0) 151.6 (+2.4) 83% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 14, 2026 CBU 86 – 72 UTU
Feb 15, 2026 UTU 70 – 65 CBU
Jan 22, 2026 CBU 73 – 64 UTU
Jan 9, 2026 CBU 84 – 72 UTU
Mar 2, 2025 CBU 61 – 57 UTU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU UTU
Overall 13-10 8-13
Conference 6-6 4-10
Home 11-4 5-7
Away 2-5 3-6
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.3 67.6
Avg Pts Against 76.5 78.2
Massey -3.3 (#216) -14.8 (#337)
Bradley-Terry -1.31 (#275) -2.38 (#323)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.53 (#260) -3.52 (#330)
RPI 0.418 (#293) 0.398 (#315)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU UTU
FG% 45.0% 41.0%
3PT% 39.6% 27.5%
REB / G 36.8 33.3
OREB / G 10.3 8.7
AST / TO 1.18 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.8% 45.5%
TOV% 20.2% 20.6%
ORB% 29.4% 22.8%
FT Rate 29.1% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 19.0%
DRB% 71.9% 66.7%
Opp FT Rate 28.8% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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