Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -500 SAC +385 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +8 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -8.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -6.5 (+1.5) | 147.7 (-19.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -4.6 (+3.4) | 144.8 (-16.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -5.6 (+2.4) | 147.2 (-19.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.3 (+1.7) | 147.3 (-19.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | EWU 102 – 94 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | EWU 75 – 67 SAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EWU 83 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | EWU 65 – 54 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 74 – 69 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 8-12 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 5-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#135) | -3.4 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#221) | -1.17 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#208) | -1.49 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#119) | 0.434 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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