We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Hart Center Arena · January 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread COLG -14.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money HC +1100 / COLG -1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total HC win
Actual COLG +18 138 Lost
Massey COLG -19.1 (+1.1) — —
Massey Totals — 156.1 (-18.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 9% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 3% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COLG -10.6 (-7.4) 153.2 (-15.2) 17% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLG -11.6 (-6.4) 154.3 (-16.3) 16% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COLG -15.6 (-2.4) 156.5 (-18.5) 14% ✓
Baseline ML COLG -14.4 (-3.6) 152.0 (-14.0) 15% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2026 COLG 74 – 70 HC
Jan 29, 2026 COLG 79 – 74 HC
Feb 27, 2025 COLG 81 – 73 HC
Feb 12, 2025 COLG 87 – 65 HC
Mar 8, 2024 COLG 81 – 64 HC

Game Analysis

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