Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | VAN +188 SC -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +12 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | SC -3.1 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -2.4 (+14.4) | 150.1 (+23.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -1.4 (+13.4) | 147.3 (+26.7) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -2.2 (+14.2) | 150.7 (+23.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SC -2.8 (+14.8) | 151.3 (+22.7) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | VAN 83 – 71 SC |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VAN 66 – 63 SC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SC 75 – 60 VAN |
| Feb 14, 2023 | VAN 75 – 64 SC |
| Jan 4, 2023 | VAN 84 – 79 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 4-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 3-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#155) | 6.1 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#207) | 1.05 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#197) | 1.45 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#260) | 0.547 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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