Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP +3300 GONZ -5000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +22 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -19.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -15.0 (-7.0) | 164.8 (+7.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -15.7 (-6.3) | 167.8 (+4.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -18.2 (-3.8) | 165.8 (+6.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -17.1 (-4.9) | 167.6 (+4.4) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | GONZ 84 – 60 PEPP |
| Dec 29, 2025 | GONZ 96 – 56 PEPP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | GONZ 107 – 55 PEPP |
| Dec 31, 2024 | GONZ 89 – 82 PEPP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 61 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 31-1 |
| Conference | 7-6 | 15-0 |
| Home | 7-5 | 12-0 |
| Away | 3-5 | 7-0 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 12-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 91.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#140) | 23.9 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#138) | 5.15 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#136) | 7.02 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#134) | 0.661 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 55.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 60.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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