Betting Lines
| Spread | NCAT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NCAT -163 FAMU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCAT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -1.8 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCAT -0.8 (+1.2) | 143.5 (-11.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCAT -0.7 (+1.3) | 140.9 (-8.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCAT -0.4 (+1.6) | 144.0 (-12.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCAT -0.9 (+1.1) | 143.2 (-11.2) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2021 | NCAT 70 – 63 FAMU |
| Feb 20, 2021 | FAMU 71 – 57 NCAT |
| Jan 30, 2021 | NCAT 70 – 58 FAMU |
Game Analysis
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