Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -175 NCAT +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +14 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -7.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -5.5 (+8.5) | 138.4 (-10.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -5.0 (+9.0) | 140.3 (-12.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -5.6 (+8.4) | 141.3 (-13.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -6.0 (+8.0) | 138.1 (-10.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2021 | NCAT 70 – 63 FAMU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | NCAT 67 – 65 FAMU |
| Jan 30, 2021 | NCAT 70 – 58 FAMU |
Game Analysis
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