Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -120 NCAT +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -8.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -6.9 (-13.9) | 135.2 (-2.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -6.0 (-13.0) | 139.2 (-6.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -6.7 (-13.7) | 139.4 (-6.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -6.7 (-13.7) | 136.3 (-3.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2021 | FAMU 71 – 57 NCAT |
| Jan 31, 2021 | NCAT 67 – 65 FAMU |
| Jan 30, 2021 | NCAT 70 – 58 FAMU |
Game Analysis
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